Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 1054.420692 1212.532336 1395.483581 1625.031523 1908.492198 2251.288058 2.703809e+03
2024-10-06 843.992955 1044.399091 1301.460559 1663.950676 2176.732926 2900.924275 4.050623e+03
2024-10-13 708.302786 912.662384 1190.488877 1610.263571 2256.556768 3268.177767 5.101251e+03
2024-10-20 617.498945 820.679514 1109.672802 1571.162546 2333.507563 3638.491062 6.310985e+03
2024-10-27 543.340532 739.200340 1027.568597 1508.445699 2349.230017 3900.610362 7.441592e+03
2024-11-03 512.470984 715.412731 1025.937874 1569.991800 2586.814031 4642.907239 1.004340e+04
2024-11-10 481.448851 686.782383 1011.383729 1604.969467 2782.341185 5374.541065 1.320215e+04
2024-11-17 452.472491 657.585399 991.177719 1624.831794 2951.694008 6118.251571 1.712988e+04
2024-11-24 420.301422 619.704815 951.278049 1600.372002 3020.698508 6647.720327 2.095793e+04
2024-12-01 401.294730 601.389644 942.601733 1634.227713 3228.314815 7650.247411 2.823143e+04
2024-12-08 388.219052 591.567406 947.460789 1695.695922 3519.420099 9069.913773 4.067834e+04
2024-12-15 371.304922 573.463352 934.845281 1717.948132 3719.273181 10329.555243 5.608851e+04
2024-12-22 351.362253 549.406081 910.421458 1715.198522 3867.274230 11577.072050 7.762230e+04
2024-12-29 338.596378 537.214550 907.783300 1762.548659 4179.803827 13794.900384 1.260223e+05
2025-01-05 316.226859 505.597999 863.299354 1703.676374 4154.317690 14501.147307 1.617070e+05
2025-01-12 297.730972 479.764868 827.965386 1661.646372 4172.022936 15472.966016 2.187708e+05
2025-01-19 278.539161 451.322072 784.786075 1594.029288 4087.942739 15861.090550 2.722808e+05
2025-01-26 273.079056 448.338799 793.892037 1660.363919 4487.945088 19568.376877 6.061842e+05
2025-02-02 265.454461 440.585227 792.075602 1698.090856 4804.650485 23322.324601 1.463904e+06
2025-02-09 257.060016 430.699719 784.647721 1719.524651 5071.543041 27277.669274 4.331505e+06
2025-02-16 245.727684 414.271124 761.362615 1693.130778 5136.622374 29712.998884 1.205483e+07
2025-02-23 239.683293 407.968561 760.074673 1729.666328 5490.246926 35885.829085 3.502109e+08
2025-03-02 235.917130 405.968616 768.311923 1796.051710 6018.197088 45986.529383 NaN